The Hardball Times' Clay Davenport has his first run of projections for the 2014 season. For the Astros' purposes, let's take a look at Davenport's AL West:
Oakland: 88-74
Texas: 87-75
Anaheim: 84-78
Seattle: 83-79
Houston: 70-92
Now, looking at his Postseason Odds, we see that the Astros averaged a 67-95 record with a 1.98% chance of making the postseason (with the 2014 season simulated one million times), which is actually higher than the Cubs' chances of making the postseason.
You can read some of Davenport's thoughts on this run of projections here (which I highly suggest you do before commenting, if that's your thing)
We didn't come out here to play tiddlywinks, son.
-Hal Smith
