We'll delve into this in depth later, but let's just pull the Astros' 2010 players:
Hitters
Lance Berkman
'10 Proj: 153G, 157x554 (.283/.406/.518), 31HR, 104 RBI, 96R, 118K:109BB
'09 Stat: 136G, 126x360 (.274/.399/.509), 25HR, 80 RBI, 73R, 98K:97BB
Geoff Blum
'10 Proj: 113G, 72x306 (.235/.297/.359), 7HR, 36RBI, 30R, 52K:24BB
'09 Stat: 120G, 94x381 (.247/.314/.367), 10HR, 49RBI, 34R, 61K:33BB
Michael Bourn
'10 Proj: 150G, 156x575 (.271/.341/.360), 5HR, 37RBI, 91R, 121K:60BB
'09 Stat: 157G, 173x606 (.285/.354/.384), 3HR, 35RBI, 97R, 140K:63BB
Jason Castro
'10 Proj: 97G, 95x359 (.265/.325/.343), 3HR, 36RBI, 46R, 54K:32BB
Chris Coste
'10 Proj: 74G, 48x191 (.251/.309/.366), 4HR, 23RBI, 18R, 36K:13BB
'09 Stat: 88G, 46x205 (.224/.301/.317), 2HR, 18RBI, 15R, 55K:22BB
Darin Erstad
'10 Proj: 73G, 29x119 (.244/.297/.319), 1HR, 12RBI, 15R, 24K:8BB
'09 Stat: 107G, 26x150 (.194/.268/.328), 2HR, 11RBI, 13R, 13K:14BB
Chris Johnson
'10 Proj: 116G, 92x346 (.266/.300/.425), 11HR, 39RBI, 38R, 78K:17BB
Jeff Keppinger
'10 Proj: 115G, 107x367 (.292/.348/.395), 5HR, 35RBI, 44R, 26K:30BB
'09 Stat: 107G, 78x305 (.256/.320/.387), 7HR, 29RBI, 35R, 33K:27BB
Carlos Lee
'10 Proj: 152G, 172x587 (.293/.351/.503), 29HR, 107RBI, 79R, 61K:49BB
'09 Stat: 160G, 183x610 (.300/.343/.489), 26HR, 102RBI, 65R, 51K:41BB
Kaz Matsui
'10 Proj: 125G, 117x445 (.263/.317/.380), 8HR, 40RBI, 60R, 82K:33BB
'09 Stat: 132G, 119x476 (.250/.302/.357), 9HR, 46RBI, 56R, 85K:34BB
Jason Michaels
'10 Proj: 87G, 38x155 (.245/.328/.381), 4HR, 20RBI, 21R, 37K:17BB
'09 Stat: 102G, 32x132 (.237/.322/.430), 4HR, 16RBI, 17R, 38K:16BB
Hunter Pence
'10 Proj: 155G, 175x601 (.291/.351/.509), 28HR, 89RBI, 85R, 107K:53BB
'09 Stat: 159G, 165x585 (.282/.346/.472), 25HR, 72RBI, 76R, 109K:58BB
Humberto Quintero
'10 Proj: 71G, 43x173 (.249/.286/.358), 3HR, 18RBI, 15R, 30K:7BB
'09 Stat: 60G, 37x157 (.236/.286/.376), 4HR, 14RBI, 11R, 41K:7BB
Miguel Tejada
'10 Proj: 157G, 186x622 (.299/.342/.449), 18HR, 91RBI, 84R, 62K:32BB
'09 Stat: 158G, 199x635 (.313/.340/.455), 14HR, 86RBI, 83R, 48K:19BB
Of course, it's interesting to see Tejada's projections. It's
Some other notes from this:
-Berkman is no longer a .300 hitter.
-Hunter Pence is emerging as maybe the Astros' best #3 hitter.
-Carlos Lee will do what Carlos Lee does
-Jason Castro is projected to be a major upgrade at catcher.
What else do you take?
Pitching projections
Starting Pitching
Quick note. I did not post Russ Ortiz or Mike Hampton's 2010 projections. Why? I think that's pretty obvious.
Roy Oswalt
'10 Proj: 33 starts, 205IP, 159K:48BB, 3.60 ERA/1.28 WHIP
'09 Stat: 30 starts, 181.1IP, 138K:42BB, 4.12 ERA/1.24 WHIP
Wandy Rodriguez
'10 Proj: 33 starts, 212IP, 179K:75BB, 4.12 ERA/1.40 WHIP
'09 Stat: 33 starts, 205.2IP, 193K:63BB, 3.02 ERA/1.24 WHIP
Bud Norris
'10 Proj: 19 starts, 107IP, 104K:50BB, 5.05 ERA/1.66 WHIP
'09 Stat: 10 starts, 55.2IP, 54K:25BB, 4.53 ERA/1.51 WHIP
Brian Moehler
'10 Proj: 30 starts, 163IP, 89K:47BB, 5.08 ERA/1.52 WHIP
'09 Stat: 29 starts, 154.2IP, 91K:51BB, 5.47 ERA/1.54 WHIP
Felipe Paulino
'10 Proj: 24G (24 starts), 130IP, 118K:62BB, 5.19 ERA/1.62 WHIP
'09 Stat: 23G (17 starts), 97.2IP, 93K:37BB, 6.27 ERA/1.67 WHIP
Note:
-Wandy is due for a regression back to his pre-2009 numbers.
-After Wandy, Bill James' predictions are iffy, to be complimentary.
Relief Pitching
Alberto Arias
'10 Proj: 33G, 33IP, 24K:14BB, 4.64 ERA/1.61 WHIP (dividing baserunners/9 innings by 9)
'09 Stat: 42G, 45.2IP, 39K:19BB, 3.35 ERA/1.49 WHIP
Yorman Bazardo
'10 Proj: 19G (3 starts), 36IP, 21K:14BB, 5.75 ERA/1.72 WHIP
'09 Stat: 10G (6 starts), 32IP, 17K:22BB, 7.88 ERA/1.84 WHIP
Tim Byrdak
'10 Proj: 85G, 68IP, 67K:37BB, 4.24 ERA/1.45 WHIP
'09 Stat: 76G, 61.1IP, 58K:36BB, 3.23 ERA/1.22 WHIP
Jeff Fulchino
'10 Proj: 73G, 93IP, 71K:41BB, 4.94 ERA/1.60 WHIP
'09 Stat: 61G, 82IP, 71K:27BB, 3.40 ERA/1.18 WHIP
Sam Gervacio
'10 Proj: 56G, 42IP, 49K:18BB, 3.64 ERA/1.33 WHIP
'09 Stat: 29G, 21IP, 25K:8BB, 2.14 ERA/1.14 WHIP
LaTroy Hawkins
'10 Proj: 62G, 63IP, 45K:17BB, 3.29 ERA/1.26 WHIP (0 saves)
'09 Stat: 65G, 63.1IP, 45K:16BB, 2.13 ERA/1.20 WHIP (11 saves)
Chris Sampson
'10 Proj: 32G, 35IP, 18K:7BB, 3.86 ERA/1.31 WHIP
'09 Stat: 49G, 55.1IP, 33K:21BB, 5.04 ERA/1.57 WHIP
Jose Valverde
'10 Proj: 60G, 67IP, 78K:27BB, 3.22 ERA/1.23 WHIP (38 saves)
'09 Stat: 52G, 54IP, 56K:21BB, 2.33 ERA/1.13 WHIP (25 saves)
Wesley Wright
'10 Proj: 53G, 52IP, 56K:33BB, 4.85 ERA/1.61 WHIP
'09 Stat: 49G, 44.2IP, 47K:25BB, 5.44 ERA/1.75 WHIP
What do you take from this?
