Over at Rodriguez's FanGraphs page you can find how five baseball prognosticators project the 2009 season. Let's see for Pudge (and remember, I doubt this has been updated to the NL Central). I'm showing two of my preferred guys:
Bill James: 126H, 26 2B, 2 3B, 11 HR, 53 R, 52 RBI, .283/.320/.425 Avg/OBP/SLG
CHONE: 118H, 23 2B, 2 3B, 10 HR, 53 R, 46 RBI, .260/.295/.386
Now let's regard Humberto Quintero:
James: 68H, 15 2B, 1 3B, 4 HR, 25 R, 28 RBI, .256/.288/.365
CHONE: 71H, 15 2B, 1 3B, 5 HR, 29 R, 31 RBI, .245/.287/.355
Of course, Pudge is projected to play 120-130 games. Q was projected at 75-90.